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Raleigh Regional
Assn. of Realtors
111 Realtors Way
Cary, NC 27513
( 919) 654-5400 voice

( 919) 654-5401 fax
info@rrar.com

 


Inside Scoop
Issue 32– March, 2008

The Inside ScoopBy Debra Shaw and Tara Lightner
REALTORS®: This newsletter is designed to provide you with an update of important real estate issues and political activities. It will be emailed to REALTOR® members monthly.

Who'd Have Guessed It?
By all accounts we were supposed to know our two party candidates weeks ago. That was the design set up by the parties when they reset the primary dates in so many states. It was to give the party nominees more time to raise money and improve their chances against each other. So how is it that we are still unsure of the nominees? No one called this right - not the pundits, the media columnists, the consultants, or the garden variety political junkies. I guess voters still have a few tricks up their sleeves. The North Carolina primary is scheduled for May 6th, with absentee ballot requests beginning March 17th.

Here's what we DO know statewide: Richard Moore is giving Bev Purdue one heck of a scare. Pat McCrory is making Fred Smith and Bill Graham more than a little nervous and Bill Dautridge will make Janet Cowell work for the State Treasurer's job. Richard Morgan wants the top teacher's job and has jumped into the race for Superintendent of Public Instruction. The biggest local shocker is former Raleigh councilman and business owner John Odom challenging long time Insurance Commissioner Jim Long.

In Wake County: Vernon Malone will have a primary challenger in Ann Akland, a long-time EPA staffer. Chris Mintz, two years off his shellacking by Ty Harrell in the democratic primary for House District 41, will challenge incumbent senator Neal Hunt in November for State Senate District 15. Janet Cowell's departure leaves three democrats vying for State Senate District 16, and the winner will take on John Alexander in what is viewed as a safe democratic seat. Paul Terrell will face a very tough incumbent opponent in popular lawyer and former House Speaker, Dan Blue. Golden boy Grier Martin should take care of J.H. Ross with relative ease in District 34, if past campaign history is any indication. Wake County republican leadership member and REALTOR® Eric Weaver will take on Jennifer Weiss and force her to spend some campaign money.

Ed Ridpath will take on House Minority Leader Paul Stam again in the mostly southern Cary-Apex House seat. Expect the Democratic Party and their big money supplier, the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) to spend some bucks in this one. Ditto for the Linda Coleman race, House District 39, where they dumped serious cash to shore her up in 2005, and she only has a general opponent in November. Two democrats have filed for the primary against House republican incumbent Marilyn Avila in House District 40. Apex Town Commissioner Bryan Gossage will take on incumbent House Representative Ty Harrell in what is sure to be a very costly election. Harrell upset longtime uber-conservative stalwart Russell Capps in this affluent conservative district in 2005. All three Wake county commissioners will be challenged in November - including the District 4 race where republican architect and incumbent Kenn Gardner will be challenged by liberal activist and slow growth advocate Stan Norwalk. Expect Norwalk to go after Gardner on growth and Gardner to go after Norwalk on reassignment. Could be a particularly messy one!

Congress May Consider Second Stimulus Aimed at Housing
With economic recovery an object on the distant horizon, the idea of a second stimulus package aimed at jump starting the housing sector is getting some traction. One proposal is to include a tax credit for buyers - a move that could help reduce the large amount of housing inventory currently on the market. A similar plan was put in place to clear out inventory in the 1970s, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, remarked that help for first time homebuyers is of particular importance. "People will realize that the worst in housing is come to an end if they see bold measures," said Yun. According to the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB), bold measures like a substantial tax credit would help to move some inventory and set off more sales in a chain reaction.

Congress Considers Proposals to Avert Foreclosures
There's so many options floating around, it's hard to keep track. Here's a much abbreviated run down.

1. Uncle Sam Buys Mortgages. Government buys at-risk mortgages from lenders at steep discounts, restructures the loans to reduce payments and resells the loans in secondary markets. Investors in mortgage-backed securities take a loss, but get most of their investment back. Borrowers get a refinanced mortgage. Pro: gets homeowners out of high-interest rate loans. Cons: Costs $10-$20 billion in seed money - Administration sees it as bailing out lenders and investors, and wants to keep government in advisory role - letting banks restructure loans themselves.

2. Fannie and Freddie buy the troubled loans and repackage them for sale in the secondary markets. Fannie and Freddie are GSEs (government sponsored entities) and government backing is thought to encourage private lenders to issue these loans. The plan would jump-start the market for mortgages by establishing a true market value for the securities backed by these loans. Another variation has the loans being bought, refinanced and insured by FHA, and the insurance would be paid by the borrower. Pros: Uses existing agencies and lending industry to repackage and insure loans. Cons: Administration does not want this level of involvement. Cost: Roughly same seed money $10-$20 billion.

3. Community Reinvestment Funds. The Foreclosure Prevention Act of 2008 calls for states to use community development funds administered by the Treasury Department and usually used to boost lending in underserved areas, to buy foreclosed properties, rehab them and sell or rent them. Cost: $4 billion in reinvestment funds. Pros: Gets foreclosed properties back in use. Cons: Doesn't prevent foreclosures. Note: Partisan in the senate, but has legs, and could be enacted as part of a larger bill.

4. State Issued Bonds. Allows state housing finance agencies, which normally assist in below-market rate mortgages and first time homebuyers, to issue tax-exempt bonds to help troubled borrowers refinance their mortgages. The plan would also expand the dollar amount to allow the state finance agencies to issue $10 billion in bonds over the next three years. Pros: Borrowers stay in homes and lenders would get their principal back, with mortgages refinanced to more affordable fixed rates. Cons: Many states already issue as much bond activity as they can and raising the limits will not help them. Plus it is seen as passing the buck to the states. Note: This proposal has wide support, including Ds and Rs, plus the administration.   

Legislative gap funding for turnpikes remains focus
"Gap funding", the name given for the funding balance not covered under a toll system for proposed turnpikes, is an important issue to keep mobility in our growing region. In 2007, the Raleigh Regional Association of REALTORS® took a position to support the tolling of the southern loop and to support the need for gap funding. This issue continues to be an important item of discussion for the statewide 21st Century Transportation Committee.  In the Triangle, the 540/Triangle Expressway project will be under construction in less than a year --- if the legislature approves the gap funding needed to pay for the portion of roadway construction costs that tolls will not cover.  While tolls are not the ideal solution, leaving 540 as an incomplete roadway would simply be an unacceptable situation for regional mobility.  Other regions also have proposed toll roads under consideration, so this situation is not unique to the Triangle. The benefit of using the toll option is that toll roads fall under the jurisdiction of the NC Turnpike Commission, a quasi private, quasi governmental entity that can usually save time and money dealing with costly permitted requirements that can add years to a project.

Several organizations, including the Regional Transportation Alliance Business Leadership Group, have continued to highlight the importance of completing our freeway system, including the need for gap funding to accelerate the completion of turnpike routes. Few issues are as critical to maintaining our high quality of life; while new roads are not the total solution, they are certainly part of it. As you speak with your neighbors, associates, legislators, etc. please continue to speak of the importance of accelerating 540/Triangle Expressway -- and the need for legislative gap funding -- at every chance you get.

Important Voter Registration Initiative
The Raleigh Regional Association of REALTORS® is undertaking an internal program to increase our member voter registration rate. Voting is critical to shaping public policy and if you don't vote, you don't have a voice. National statistics have shown us that we can expect 40% of our membership not to be registered to vote. As we strive to increase our registration rates, we are asking you to help us AND help your clients. Each person or family that you relocate HAS to change their critical documents to reflect their new address. One critical document often lost in this shuffle, is their voter registration form. The next time you are preparing for a closing, visit this website and print out a voter registration form for your client. They will appreciate it and you will do something to help increase voter registration in our area. http://www.sboe.state.nc.us/NCSBE/VR/VR%20Forms/form06.pdf

Falls Lake Water Reduction
As Raleigh enters into Stage 2 Water Conservation Measures, the Army Corps of Engineers will significantly reduce the amount of water from the dam at Falls Lake, which equals about 17 million gallons per day, for the month of March.  Approximately 39 million gallons per day is used currently in the city.  Water managers do not want to use the sedimentation pool at the bottom of Falls Lake, nor do they want the reservoir to run dry, and this latest effort is evidence they are tying to avoid those things at all costs.  In addition, Mayor Meeker wants to enforce spot inspections of buildings to ensure the low-flow faucets and other devices have been installed, and he stressed that conservation is still necessary because the city is still in a drought. The recent rain has aided regional supplies in Orange, Durham and Wake counties. More is expected but we remain in a deficit of over 8" since January of 2007.

Mortgage Debt Cancellation Relief
The U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate passed the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007; this law states that borrowers will not have to pay tax on the forgiven amount, once a lender forgives a portion of a mortgage debt in a short sale, foreclosure, or a similar instance, and this will apply to debts forgiven between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2009.  There is no income limitation, although no more than $2 million of the debt is applicable, and this applies only to a primary residence.   Other provisions included in the act are extensions for deductions for mortgage insurance premiums through 2010, as well as a provision that a surviving spouse can claim a $500,000 claim for up to two years after the spouse’s death.

Calling All Agents -
Secret Agents That Is ….

Our RPAC Spring event is almost here. This year's event ….

Our night of gaming will include all your Casino favorites: Three Card Poker; Texas Hold 'em; Craps; Roulette; Blackjack and even slot machines. Come show off your skills for a chance to win some wonderful gifts. A silent auction will also be taking place for you non-gamers. Make plans to come join us on April 24th at the REALTOR® building for a night of fun, food, drinks, and of course our very own REALTOR® James Bond and Bond Girl Contest. The event will be catered by Catering by Design, with a delectable menu of roasted pork loin, round of beef, shrimp, an assortment of sushi and much more. Tickets to this fun event are $25 each, and can be obtained by calling 654-5400, ext. 235 or emailing debras@rrar.com.

 



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